วันเสาร์ที่ 28 เมษายน พ.ศ. 2555

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วันพฤหัสบดีที่ 19 เมษายน พ.ศ. 2555

Flora and Fauna of the Sahara

The Sahara is the world's largest desert, face areas from Mauritania, Western Sahara, Algeria, Niger and Egypt. It also covers parts of Sudan, Libya, Chad and Mali; plus, a part of Morocco and Tunisia. The name "Sahara" comes from the Tuareg (a local tribe) language "tenere," meaning "desert."

Despite the seasonal rainfall, Sahara remains to be very dry. Rivers run straight through the region but only the Nile and Niger Rivers are permanent. The rest are created by the occasional rains and becomes dry when the weather changes. Oases can be found in a few areas where there are private aquifers.

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Thousands of years ago, based on the petroglyphs found on rocks and artifacts in the area, Sahara had more humidity and life than it does now. At present, Sahara is getting bigger in coverage. It is said that Sahara is expanding by as much as 30 miles per year.

Global warming and farming are the reasons behind this phenomenon. Despite this condition, some species of plants and animals have learned to adapt to the harsh environment.

The Saharan Fauna
Sahara's most domesticated animals are goats and dromedary camels. Due to their durableness and speed, dromedary camels are the beloved animals of nomads.

The "deathstalker" scorpion (Leirurus quinquestriatus) is also one of the living organisms that survive in the desert. Its venom is very perilous but rarely kills a wholesome adult.

Monitor lizards, sand vipers, fennec fox, hyrax and the ostrich, a flightless bird which have become rare, can still be found in the region. The addax, a large white antelope that has become a type of endangered species can also be found here. In fact, the Addax has fully adapted to the conditions of the desert and it can remain there for months, even a whole year, without drinking.

The Saharan cheetahs are very cautious animals that flee from human presence, with only a few hundred remaining on its population.

Birds that can be seen flying the Saharan skies are the black-throated firefinch and the African silverbill among other species. Bird species count more than 300 already.

Other animal lives in the Sahara comprise wild gazelles, antelopes, jackals, foxes, badgers and the hyena gerbil as well as the jerboa, cape hare, desert hedgehog, barbary sheep and the onyx. You will also find here some deer, wild ass, baboon, sand fox, weasel and mongoose.

The desert eagle owls, large brown and white birds called Houbara bustards camouflage themselves under the sand and boulders while searching for rodents and lizards.

Addax and oryx antelopes are among the most threatened species of all desert wildlife because of animal hunting.

One powerful species in the eco-region is the scarab beetle. It is believed in the antique Egyptian mythology that these insects are linked with new life and rebirth. Scarab beetles thrive in the Sahara desert up to this day.

Many desert animals crusade for food at night because of the cooler temperature. It is more favorable for them to hunt without the glaring heat of the desert sun.

Saharan Flora
Considering the vast coverage of the region, flora species of the central Sahara Desert is estimated to comprise only more or less than 500 species. Most of these belong to the xerophytes and ephemeral plants (locally called Acheb), with halophytes in wetter areas.

A variety of succulents, lichens and shrubs can be found along Mauritania and the Western Sahara. They are sustained by the moisture generated areas of the Atlantic Coast. Other vegetation includes scattered patches of grasses, shrubs and trees which are mostly found in the highlands, also in the oases and near river beds. Some plant species have fully adjusted to the climate. It can even germinate within 3 days of rain and propagate seeds within 2 weeks afterwards.

Dates, corn and fruits also grow in the more or less 200,000 quadrate kilometers of the Saharan fertile Oases. These few fertile regions are nourished by private rivers and basins which can be found in depressions (areas under sea level) and artesian wells.

In general, aside from the already inhospitable environment of the desert, flora and fauna also feel the growing pressure of the times. The chronic climatic changes and human exploitation of the desert increases this pressure even more.

Flora and Fauna of the Sahara

วันอังคารที่ 17 เมษายน พ.ศ. 2555

Dell Online (Case Study)

Background (General Facts from Case Study)

Dell is a computer corporation recognized for manufacturing computer systems through parts assemble. In 1983, Michael Dell saw an chance in using Ibm compatible computers for a new assembly line that can be sold to local businesses. The idea as explained by Michael Dell, in an interview with Joan Magretta[1], is that in the early days of computers' manufacturing, fellowships had to be able to produce every part of the system. As the industry matured, fellowships started to focus on single parts and to become specialized in creating items that can be assembled with other parts to put in order a computer. As a result, Dell understood that to have a competing edge in the market, they needed to focus on activities that drive sales instead of putting capital in producing items that other industry are already creating.

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In the 1990's, the computer market revolved nearby desktops, notebooks, and network servers. Dell competed with high-end machines from Ibm, Hp, and Compaq with a goods line that provided value-priced systems for consumers and extremely trustworthy networked systems for business. In the late 90's, nearby 40% of households owned a pc in the Us. On the contrary, from the business side, nearby 80% of the fellowships still had old server and desktop machines. Management had to approve purchasing orders, which resulted in only 2.2% of servers' sale in comparison to the total purchases for desktop Pcs in 1996.

In order for Dell to perform .8 billion from sales in the late 90's, it had to skip over the customary channels of using retail or value-added resellers (Vars) to sell directly to the consumers . The "direct-model "or as Michael Dell comments on how his new employees call it "The model" is not that all noteworthy system. It is plainly a way for Dell to cut on the accepted provide chain cycle and deliver goods directly from the manufacturer to the customer. They created partnerships with several suppliers such as Sony, Intel, and others to deliver goods effectively at the time of the order to Dell's plant where the assembly took place. The delivery and shipment were outsourced through a dedicated aid that also insured delivering the monitors directly from the victualer at the same time. Mr. Dell talks about how suppliers are benefiting from the fact that Dell buys more items from the suppliers holding no catalogue and only requesting faster delivery upon orders.

In 1996, Dell capitalized on the growing estimate of customers who are using the Internet and launched its online store at dell.com. The online investment then proved to be the most accepted sales channel that matched the provide chain direct model implemented by Dell.

In its path to compete in the market, Dell had to provide additional services such as DellPlus that enabled Dell to install market software packages, DellWare which provided hardware and software from other vendors, and after sales and on-site preserve services. These actions, as described by Michael Dell, required establishing more partnerships, which Mr. Dell describes as a process of "trial and error". The integration with partners was changing as the technology is evolving and many venders go vaporing while others remain sold. Furthermore, finding for an It business to build the online store brought in very few players, which made Dell accept the overhead of developing the portal in-house.

Enterprise Architecture Issues

Supply Chain Management: The purchase and estimate of transactions that Dell took in required a properly configured and brief business process. In-sourcing: To meet the query of the market some parts of the process required the services of other fellowships that can be in partner with Dell. quality Assurance: The computer industry is a very dynamic one, which makes quality products stand out when faced with technology-oriented consumers. business Automation: As Dell advanced into online markets, its sales staff feared from losing their jobs in favor of automated sales transactions. Dynamic Industry: The technology industry requires closely monitoring consumers' trend to assert a low gap between the point of query and the point of supply.
Analysis

Supply Chain Management

Supply Chain Management (Scm) aims at integrating all corporate activities to improve relationships at all levels (internal operations, victualer networks, and distribution channel) to meet the competing edge and satisfy the customer (Al-Mashari and Zairi 2000)[2]. In order to build an sufficient and unblemished business process that supports Scm, data among all business partners need to be shared. data sharing through the Internet sell out the gap for business-to-business (B2B) industry by enabling seamless integration with business processes among partner corporations (Archer 2006)[3].

Dell advanced its internal business process by creating production cells that start assembly at the point of order. It also established an internal data theory to make the details of the products under production electronically available to all parties within the chain. To administrate the provide of computer parts, Dell maintained close relationships with their suppliers and logistics providers to make their vendors administrate the catalogue theory while Dell focused on goods assembly (Kumar and Craig 2007)[4]. In addition, Dell used business technology to make their database and methodologies available to the victualer to understand how Dell works. On the buyer side, orders made through the phone or online through dell.com produced a tracking code that the buyer can use to track the status of his or her order at any time through the phone or on Dell's website.

In sourcing

Organizations worldwide are benefiting from the specialized services offered by various companies. In the shipping and transport arena, fellowships Like Ups (United Parcel Service) and Dhl stand out as masters in their industry. Ups and Dhl have established offices and communication vehicles all across the world. They provide business services through in-sourcing which enables them to be part of the internal business process of fellowships (Marcum 2007)[5]. To a business like Toshiba for example, after-sales preserve aid would wish shipping the damaged computer to and from the consumer's side. For that, Ups would say, "Look, instead of us picking up the engine from your customers, bringing it to our hub, then flying it from our hub to your repair factory and then flying it back to our hub and then from our hub to your customer's house, let's cut out all the middle steps. We, Ups, will pick it up, repair it, and send it right to your customer" (Friedman 2006)[6].

Dell understands that it need not compete unless it would get the benefit in the market. Michael Dell says that one should value the competition field and pick the best one. In that context, after-sales services were contracted with firms who are specialized in that field and can be contacted directly through the integrated provide theory to fulfill the requests of the consumers. Furthermore, shipping is handled through manifold shippers to deliver systems to consumers or to resellers across the world. In addition, Dell has saved the overhead cost of monitors' delivery by requesting shippers to deliver from the monitor's victualer directly to the buyer at the same time.

Quality Assurance

In a competing arena, fellowships seek to have an benefit through means that are not necessarily related to price. Constraints against outsourcing due to immoderate decentralization within organizations can have a negative impact on the value chain process. Combing various options and being open to diversification would preserve in increasing the speed-to-market and enhancing the quality of products (Ernst 2000)[7].

Dell has an operational factory in Penang Malaysia, which places Dell at a central position near to where most suppliers well have their factories. Orders for goods come directly to Penang town through the integrated suppliers' logistic centers (Slcs) chain[8]. The Penang town sends emails to suppliers requesting the parts that will be assembled based on the customer's order. The entire model was sufficient sufficient to wish no more than 36 hours from order to shipping. In terms of quality of service, Dell has won numerous awards for highest quality. In spite of that, it continues to find means to increase the efficiency of its products. Michael Dell recommend that reducing the human interaction with hard drives while assembly would decrease its failure rate. As a result, the allowance of the estimate of "touches" dropped the failure rate to 20%.

Business Automation

The normal attitude from individuals and employees within organizations is that automation through data systems complicate their internal processes, and might effect in cutting down the estimate of staff (Khatibi, V.Thyagarajan and Seetharaman 2003)[9]. There are several psychological and behavioral problems related with reluctance to change, which appear to impede the increase of E-commerce. On the other hand, retailers no longer think their web sites are plainly an added benefit for their customers since the Roi (Return on Investment) percentages from online websites have far outweighed their bricks-and-mortar counterparts (Casey 2004)[10]. For that reason, the staff complicated in the customary sales process requires training to embrace new technologies and to learn how they can benefit from it.

For Dell online store the response from the consumers was huge, however, at first the sales representatives feared that the online website would sell out the estimate of sale deals they closed. To overcome this, Dell introduced the cost rescue model showing how the online store would preserve sales representative close more deals and at the same time would produce cost sufficient results that would have a definite Roi on the business.

Dynamic industry

Customer relations Management (Crm) is a very vital competency that was born from the estimate of transactional sales deals through call centers. The process of comprehension customers goes through the preliminary phase of collecting data then analyzing trends and ultimately building a knowledge base that will drive the profitable relationship (Liew 2008)[11]. Organizations' use of Crm models is an effort to get firsthand knowledge that would improve marketing effectiveness, bring more personalization, and build brands among other objectives based on the nature of the business (Anderson, Jolly and Fairhurst 2007)[12].

Michael Dell model is based on holding no inventory, in order for Dell to assert that they focused on segmenting their customers into scalable businesses that can be analyzed for their level of demand. Sales executives at Dell used communication skills to elicit data from customers that would additional preserve the query forecast initiatives at the company. In addition, Dell sent surveys to customers to additional understand the satisfaction level with the services provided by Dell and modify its goods line and services accordingly. Furthermore, Michael Dell discussed how regional meetings in various countries invited inherent customers to additional enrich the relationship and give room for comments and feedback about Dell's services. On top of all that, Dell strived to provide data for its customers to help them make proper choices for their It requirements and gain privileged data about new and upcoming technologies. Dell invested in developing a web portal in the form of "Premier Pages" for high-end customers and other for small to medium businesses at Dellmarketplace.com[13]. Both sites aim at providing data to customers and establishing a single point of passage for customers' It aid requirements.

Conclusions

Dell is plainly a success story; it shows how one can gain market benefit by plainly comprehension what brings value to customers. No one, even Michael Dell himself when he started, view that citizen would enjoy customizing their Pc orders and wait patiently as the order makes its way back to their homes. Some studies talk about how citizen challenged the preliminary delivery estimates provided by Dell to see if they were met.

The level of expansion Dell strived to perform brought in problems as with any growing business. However, by adapting techniques such as In-sourcing and mutual benefit partnerships it reduced its inherent staff from 80,000 to only 15,000. Dell also was aware of factors that would hinder its provide chain. For example, they maintained a manifold list of shippers as not to be affected by unexpected delays and organizational issues. In addition, they understood the point of developing their own business systems in-house to control all the variables and assert their business processes.

This is one of the best case studies in the It industry. I believe the level of commitment Dell showed in the model he created is inspiring. On the editorial side, I believe more highlights on the internal infrastructure of Dell's network would have helped in building an comprehension of how the provide chain well worked. Did they use Crm modules, Erp, Scm, or a combination of all? How did Dell gather its data link with its suppliers, were all of them mature sufficient when it came to data systems?

Recommendations

Organizations should focus on value adding activities like establishing online portals for their customers. Businesses should guide frequent surveys to part the level of aid they provide and work on enhancing their products. Organizations should decentralize and enable expansion through global techniques such as out-sourcing and in-sourcing. building internal business data systems is the most sufficient methodology for data and knowledge sharing. Establishing manifold touch points with customers, strengthen the relationship and increases satisfaction levels. Meeting global quality standards is the only way to get an benefit in a competing arena. Internal society estimation and training is vital to assert the high spirit of employees and increase their productivity. Management preserve and funding is a key element in the success of any data theory implementation.
References

Joan Magretta , "The Power of Virtual Integration: An Interview with Dell Computer's Michael Dell." Harvard business chronicle 76, no. 2 (Mar/Apr 1998): 72-84, 13, 2. Majed Al-Mashari and Mohamed Zairi, "Supply-chain re-engineering using business reserved supply planning (Erp) systems: an determination of a Sap R/3 implementation case." International Journal of physical Distribution & Logistics Management 30, no. 3/4 (2000): 296-313 Norman P. Archer, "Supply chains and the enterprise" Journal of business data 19, no. 3 (2006): 241-245, 242 Sameer Kumar and Sarah Craig, "Dell, Inc.'s accomplished loop provide chain for computer assembly plants." data Knowledge Systems Management 6, no. 3 (2007): 197-214,18. Marcum, Jennifer. "In-Source or Outsource?" BioProcess International, June 2007 Thomas L. Friedman, The World Is Flat (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2006), 168. Dieter Ernst, "Inter-Organizational Knowledge Outsourcing: What Permits Small Taiwanese Firms to Compete in the Computer Industry?" Asia Pacific Journal of Management (Springer Netherlands) 17, no. 2 (August 2000): 223-255, 248 Friedman, The World is Flat, 516 Ali Khatibi, V.Thyagarajan, and A. Seetharaman, "E-commerce in Malaysia: Perceived Benefits and Barriers." Vikalpa: The Journal for Decision Makers 28, no. 3 (Jul-Sep 2003): 77-82, 6. Bernadette Casey, "Online Monday blacker than in-store Friday." Dsn Retailing Today, December 13, 2004: 13-13,0. Chor-Beng Anthony Liew, "Strategic integration of knowledge Management and customer relationship management." Journal of Knowledge Management 12, no. 4 (2008): 131-146. Anderson, Joan L., Laura D. Jolly, and Ann E. Fairhurst. "Customer relationship Management in retailing: A content determination of retail trade journals." Journal of Retailing & buyer Services 14, no. 6 (November 2007): 394-399, 6. Alorie Gilbert, "Dell Online Marketplace Targets Small Businesses." Electronic Buyers' News, October 2, 2000: 58, 0.

Dell Online (Case Study)

วันอาทิตย์ที่ 8 เมษายน พ.ศ. 2555

The Phalaenopsis Orchid Care

Phalaenopsis or Phal, or also called Moth orchid, is an orchid genus introduced by Blume in 1825. This genus name refers to phalaena, a name of the moth (Lepidoptera) subdivision given by Carolus Linnaeus, since this orchid intimately resembles the shape of a moth

This genus includes about 60 species which are native to the South East Asian region from the Himalayan mountains to the Indonesian archipelago, Malaysia, the Philippines and northern part of Australia. They are mostly epiphytes with a few numbers of lithophytes. In bare nature, some species grow under the shade of moist and wet forests sheltered against direct sunlight. Others grow in environments with dry or cool seasons.

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Phalaenopsis does not have pseudobulbs or rhizome regularly found in epiphytes. It grows in a single upright stem with some alternating fleshy and thick, elliptical leaves. This growth habit is called monopodial growth. A salutary phal could produce up to ten or more leaves along its stem. The cluster of flowers, whether in the form of raceme or panicle grows from the stem in the middle of leaves. In the wilderness their full blooming will last for any weeks, while if kept at homes, it might bloom for 2 - 3 months.

Phalaenopsis are very convenient as potted orchids since they are easy to propagate and bloom under synthetic conditions. Since the introduction of Phalaenopsis Doris, a tetrapoloid hybrid of this orchid, their growing in homes become very easy assuming that the provided conditions are nearly the same as their native habitat. Phalaenopsis has been commercially produced ever since.

Phalaenopsis orchid care guidelines

Light. Place your phal near or at a keen window. The ideal window spot is an east or west facing window. In gloomy or cloudy days a shady southern window will do best Avoid direct sunlight in mid-days. The most approved time is the early morning or in late afternoon sun.

In the absence of sunlight, a fluorescent light is a good substitute by placing it about 1 foot above the orchid. Do not forget to time your light resembling normal daytime length. If a home greenhouse is in your possession, you may as well use a heavy shade cloth to produce a light intensity of 1,000 - 1,500 fc (foot candles) during summer in particular.

Temperature. The preferred climatic characteristic for phals is ranging in the middle of 55º and 85ºF. To provide ideal growth it is best to set a night climatic characteristic of 60ºF and a daytime climatic characteristic of 75º - 80ºF.

Cool night temperatures during the fall will promote the initiation of flower spike. Be true in maintaining the temperature, since too fluctuated climatic characteristic may cause failure of the bud to open and may drop off. A climatic characteristic exceeding 90ºF will slow down growth.

Humidity. Phals need moderate levels of humidity. The ideal range is in the middle of 50% - 75% relative humidity. In heated homes place your phal on a shallow tray which is filled with stones and water to keep the desired humidity near your phal. Make sure that the roots do not immerse in the water.

Water. Phals need to be watered thoroughly. Do not let them dry to the point of wilting. The frequency of watering depends also on the type of potting media that are in use as well as its growing environment. An midpoint of every 7 - 10 days will be sufficient.

Remember that heated homes in winter produces lower humidity which means that you need to water your phal more often. If they dry to the point of wilting it certainly will be a setback for your pity phal.

Fertilizer. For satisfactory results, applying a slow release fertilizer with an equal proportion of N-P-K will be sufficient. You can use the liquid plant food as well using the equal proportion as recommended on the label and applying it every second time of your watering.

Flowering. The phal flowers are recognized to have a long lifespan. You can even induce the second flowering through timely pruning. What you have to do after the fading of the last flower is to check the spike and look for fleshy bulges or nodes. Count out 3 fleshy nodes and cut the spike about an inch above the third node.

By doing this, a salutary plant will stimulate one or two nodes to produce a cluster of new blooms. Repeating this any times will make it potential for you to enjoy your phal blooming of approximately 6 months.

Repotting. As any other orchids, phals need to be repotted. The same infer of repotting also applies to your phal; the outgrowing from its gift pot and the health of the potting media that should be renewed. How to repot your phal have I explained in record specially addressed to this issue

Pestcontrol.The danger of being messed up or hampered by insects or others is still there and can disturb the salutary life of your phal. So, monitor your orchid for aphids, mites, slug and scale. If you find any, take off it with a soft cloth steeped in soapy water. You can also use a pest control product, but make sure to follow the instructions on its label.

Well, that concludes the brief explanation about Phalaenopsis and some guidelines on how to care for your remarkable phal.

The Phalaenopsis Orchid Care

วันศุกร์ที่ 6 เมษายน พ.ศ. 2555

ASUS Republic of Gamers G51JX-X3 15.6-Inch Gaming Laptop (Blue)

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ASUS Republic of Gamers G51JX-X3 15.6-Inch Gaming Laptop (Blue) Overviews

The ASUS G51JX-X3 is one of the newest notebooks from the Republic of Gaming(ROG) Notebook line. Powered by Intel’s i5-430M Core i5 processor and a dedicated NVIDIA GeForce GTS 360M graphics card, the ASUS G51JX-X3 offers users a completely new class of physical gaming interaction for a more realistic and dynamic experience. The NVIDIA GeForce GTS 360M also features 1GB GDDR5 VRAM, which performs significantly better than the standard DDR2 and DDR3 video memory. With a 3DMark score of 11,000+ the performance of the ASUS G51JX-X3 is a leap from the other 15-Inch mainstream notebooks that produce scores ranging from 2000 to 3000. The G51JX-X3 also supports 3D gaming surround audio in the form of EAX Advanced HD 4.0 audio technology. This technology detects in-game environments and actions to provide corresponding 3D sound effects. It can provide up to an additional 64 sound effects from the sound library, producing ultra-realistic spatial effects in more than 300 supported games. Equipped with an illuminating chiclet keyboard, the G51JX-X3 enables gamers to control the brightness of the keyboard to cater to their needs. This provides gamers with an added advantage over their opponents, and allows them to continue to dominate even in the dark, like that of LAN party environments. The G51JX-X3 also features Windows 7 Home Premium 64 Bit Operating System. The notebook comes with a 1 year global warranty, one month zero bright dot guaranty, free two-way standard shipping, twenty-four hour tech support seven days a week, and a one year accidental damage warranty, protecting the notebook from drops, fire, spills and surge.

The ASUS G51JX-X3 is one of the newest notebooks from the Republic of Gaming(ROG) Notebook line. Powered by Intel’s i5-430M Core i5 processor and a dedicated NVIDIA GeForce GTS 360M graphics card, the ASUS G51JX-X3 offers users a completely new class of physical gaming interaction for a more realistic and dynamic experience. The NVIDIA GeForce GTS 360M also features 1GB GDDR5 VRAM, which performs significantly better than the standard DDR2 and DDR3 video memory. With a 3DMark score of 11,000+ the performance of the ASUS G51JX-X3 is a leap from the other 15-Inch mainstream notebooks that produce scores ranging from 2000 to 3000. The G51JX-X3 also supports 3D gaming surround audio in the form of EAX Advanced HD 4.0 audio technology. This technology detects in-game environments and actions to provide corresponding 3D sound effects. It can provide up to an additional 64 sound effects from the sound library, producing ultra-realistic spatial effects in more than 300 supported games. Equipped with an illuminating chiclet keyboard, the G51JX-X3 enables gamers to control the brightness of the keyboard to cater to their needs. This provides gamers with an added advantage over their opponents, and allows them to continue to dominate even in the dark, like that of LAN party environments. The G51JX-X3 also features Windows 7 Home Premium 64 Bit Operating System. The notebook comes with a 1 year global warranty, one month zero bright dot guaranty, free two-way standard shipping, twenty-four hour tech support seven days a week, and a one year accidental damage warranty, protecting the notebook from drops, fire, spills and surge.

ASUS Republic of Gamers G51JX-X3 15.6-Inch Gaming Laptop (Blue) Features

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  • 15.6" Full HD 1920x1080 LED LCD Display; NVidia GTS 360M Graphics Engine with 1GB DDR5 dedicated VRAM
  • Windows 7 Home Premium (64 bit) Operating System; Bluetooth; 2.0MP Webcam; Backlit Chiclet Keyboard

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วันพฤหัสบดีที่ 5 เมษายน พ.ศ. 2555

Malaysia Autos Report Q4 2009

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Malaysia Autos Report Q4 2009 Overviews

It appeared that the plunge in new vehicle sales in Malaysia was bottoming out later in the first half of2009. New vehicle sales for H109 as a whole totalled 251,092 units, down from 277,973 in the sameperiod of 2008; a drop of 9.7% y-o-y. Against this backdrop, the MAA revised its expectations for 2009as a whole to a drop in new vehicle sales of 8.8% y-o-y, with an economic recovery expected to kick induring the last quarter of the year. As such, the MAA anticipates that new vehicle sales will register500,000 units in 2009 as a whole.

The MAA also expects a government stimulus package to support the outlook for the second half of 2009,although we caution that fiscal constraints are likely to militate against significant additional spending.This said, BMI has revised its own forecast for new vehicle sales for 2009 to a less pessimistic scenariothan previously expected - we now expect a decline of 9.5% y-o-y to 496,000 units, compared to ourearlier expectation of a 13% decline to 476,000 units.

From 2010, we expect a return to positive annual growth in new vehicle sales, albeit at a slow paceinitially (2.2% y-o-y in 2010), before stronger growth ranging between 6.5% and 7.0% per annum acrossthe period 2011-2013. Long-term expectations are high for the small car segment, as the MAA envisagesa shift towards more fuel-efficient cars. This view has been supported by reports of a JV betweenFrance’s PSA Peugeot Citroën and local manufacturer Naza to produce a compact car.

In 2008, the industry saw a strong rise in vehicle production, at a rate of 20% y-o-y, taking total output ofnew CBUs to over 530,000 units. We predict that the economic downturn will result in a fall in totalvehicle production in 2009 to just below 508,000 units, a fall of 4.3% y-o-y. We expect passenger carproduction to fall by a heavier volume, at a rate of 17% y-o-y, to 402,000 units. This is largely in linewith the capacity utilisation seen in the first half of 2009.

Proton registered a pre-tax loss for the fiscal year as a whole (ending on March 31 2009) of MYR338mn,as sales plunged in Q109. Further losses, if encountered, could put the company’s overseas expansionistambitions in significant jeopardy.

It appeared that the plunge in new vehicle sales in Malaysia was bottoming out later in the first half of2009. New vehicle sales for H109 as a whole totalled 251,092 units, down from 277,973 in the sameperiod of 2008; a drop of 9.7% y-o-y. Against this backdrop, the MAA revised its expectations for 2009as a whole to a drop in new vehicle sales of 8.8% y-o-y, with an economic recovery expected to kick induring the last quarter of the year. As such, the MAA anticipates that new vehicle sales will register500,000 units in 2009 as a whole.

The MAA also expects a government stimulus package to support the outlook for the second half of 2009,although we caution that fiscal constraints are likely to militate against significant additional spending.This said, BMI has revised its own forecast for new vehicle sales for 2009 to a less pessimistic scenariothan previously expected - we now expect a decline of 9.5% y-o-y to 496,000 units, compared to ourearlier expectation of a 13% decline to 476,000 units.

From 2010, we expect a return to positive annual growth in new vehicle sales, albeit at a slow paceinitially (2.2% y-o-y in 2010), before stronger growth ranging between 6.5% and 7.0% per annum acrossthe period 2011-2013. Long-term expectations are high for the small car segment, as the MAA envisagesa shift towards more fuel-efficient cars. This view has been supported by reports of a JV betweenFrance’s PSA Peugeot Citroën and local manufacturer Naza to produce a compact car.

In 2008, the industry saw a strong rise in vehicle production, at a rate of 20% y-o-y, taking total output ofnew CBUs to over 530,000 units. We predict that the economic downturn will result in a fall in totalvehicle production in 2009 to just below 508,000 units, a fall of 4.3% y-o-y. We expect passenger carproduction to fall by a heavier volume, at a rate of 17% y-o-y, to 402,000 units. This is largely in linewith the capacity utilisation seen in the first half of 2009.

Proton registered a pre-tax loss for the fiscal year as a whole (ending on March 31 2009) of MYR338mn,as sales plunged in Q109. Further losses, if encountered, could put the company’s overseas expansionistambitions in significant jeopardy.

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